Can the Tories still win the next General Election?
Can the Tories still win the next General Election?
With the Conservative Party remaining behind in all major polls for well over a year, the chances of an electoral victory seem to sink further into the grass as Sunak clutches onto power - fighting off potential leadership challenges on what seems to be a near daily basis. But is the Tory party as weak as it is made out to be?
It is no secret that the world's most successful political party is also one of the most effective campaign machines of modern political history leading to landslide election victories in the Thatcher years (and more recently in 2019). But currently, the campaign abilities of the party have seemingly dwindled. What's more, the appetite for the party has significantly decreased following several scandals ranging from Party gate to sex scandals. The likes of which have often had detrimental effects on the party and its image in the media.
Despite these factors, it is clear that the appetite Keir Starmer's Labour Party is not hugely significant either, with Labour failing to get a majority of popular vote in seemingly all major polling. The 2017 election shows how significant the boomerang effect can be and how drastically the results of an election and the composition of seats within the House of Commons can be following a General Election. This raises the question as to whether the Tories will actually lose this election as much as pollsters and the media make out.
The reality, however, is that it will be incredibly difficult for Sunak to retain many seats within the Red Wall and perhaps even some traditionally safer seats as Reform UK drives to split the right-wing vote in the next election - something which will, according to some sources, cause the Tories to lose some 50 seats minimum!
Regardless of any factors which may affect the outcome of an election, it must be remembered that the only polling that matters is the result of the election - the result which will define British political history after what has truly been a rocky few years on the boat of British Politics where parties, and the factions within them continue to fight for ultimate control over the wheel and the direction of the United Kingdom.
"Chancellor of Exchequer Rishi Sunak Spring Statement" by UK Prime Minister is licensed under CC BY 2.0.